Ray Kurzweil

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"And, in their final form, the changing robots had developed a more robust gait."

Ray Kurzweil is a brilliant guy who seems maybe a little too optimistic about technological advances on our horizon. But he has an interesting post on his blog about robots that are being developed that start out as “tadpoles” and morph and change over their lives, which seems to help them learn how to walk better. An excerpt:

“In a first-of-its-kind experiment, University of Vermont roboticist Josh Bongard created both simulated and actual robots that, like tadpoles becoming frogs, change their body forms while learning how to walk. Over generations, his simulated robots also evolved, spending less time in ‘infant’ tadpole-like forms and more time in ‘adult’ four-legged forms.

These evolving populations of robots were able to learn to walk more rapidly than ones with fixed body forms. And, in their final form, the changing robots had developed a more robust gait — better able to deal with, say, being knocked with a stick — than the ones that had learned to walk using upright legs from the beginning.

‘This paper shows that body change, morphological change, actually helps us design better robots,’ Bongard says. ‘That’s never been attempted before.'”

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I was browsing Ray Kurzweil’s site and found a posting of predictions for the 21st century that the late science-fiction writer Arthur C. Clarke made back in 2001. Clarke, of course, gave us HAL, the rebellious computer from the 1968 novel, 2001: A Space Odyssey. Clarke made one mistake with his list: He gave specific dates when events would occur. That renders most of his predictions from the first decade of the century incorrect. But it might just mean that he is 20 or 50 or 80 years premature. Some of his predictions:

2009: A city in a third world country is devastated by an atomic bomb explosion.

2009: All nuclear weapons are destroyed.

2010: Despite protests against “big brother,” ubiquitous monitoring eliminates many forms of criminal activity.

2013: Prince Harry flies in space.

2019: There is a meteorite impact on Earth.

2020: Artificial Intelligence reaches human levels. There are now two intelligent species on Earth, one biological, and one nonbiological.

2021: The first human landing on Mars is achieved. There is an unpleasant surprise.

2023: Dinosaurs are cloned from fragments of DNA. A dinosaur zoo opens in Florida.

2040: The concept of human “work” is phased out.

2095: A true “space drive” is developed. The first humans are sent out to nearby star systems already visited by robots.

2100: History begins.

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