In “The Future of Driving” at the New York Times Economix blog, economist Casey B. Mulligan argues that the automation of cars may deliver an unintended consequence (more driving, thus more fuel consumption), though having these much lighter automobiles would seemingly offset that drawback. The opening of Mulligan’s post:
“Driverless vehicles would be a windfall for households and businesses that acquire them but would probably increase traffic and nationwide fuel usage.
Google and other innovators are working on vehicles that someday might drive themselves with little or no attention from human passengers. The vehicles of the future will have fast, observant computers that automatically communicate position and road conditions with other vehicles on the road.
Driverless vehicles are expected to help children, the blind, the elderly and others who currently cannot safely drive themselves. Helped by their huge amounts of data and computing power, driverless cars are also purported to reduce traffic congestion and nationwide fuel consumption by driving smarter.
But smarter driving will lead to more driving, because smarter driving reduces the cost per mile of vehicle usage. The end result of additional driving could be more traffic and more aggregate fuel consumption.”
Tags: Casey B. Mulligan